{"id":15158,"date":"2025-10-30T11:00:18","date_gmt":"2025-10-30T11:00:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/bitcoin-crash-to-87600-looms-if-this-support-snaps-warns-veteran-analyst\/"},"modified":"2025-10-30T11:00:18","modified_gmt":"2025-10-30T11:00:18","slug":"bitcoin-crash-to-87600-looms-if-this-support-snaps-warns-veteran-analyst","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/bitcoin-crash-to-87600-looms-if-this-support-snaps-warns-veteran-analyst\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Crash To $87,600 Looms If This Support Snaps, Warns Veteran Analyst"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin is sitting on a technical ledge that could decide whether price makes a new all-time high or unwinds sharply into the $80,000s, according to veteran trader Josh Olszewicz (CarpeNoctom). \u201cBTC complex iHS brewing in the megaphone,\u201d he posted on October 30, 2025, adding in a follow-up: \u201cAlso this brewing, not great.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>The Bullish Case For Bitcoin<\/h2>\n<p>Olszewicz is megaphone is defined by rising dotted resistance lines above and falling dotted support lines below. The upper boundary extends through roughly $126,000 to $128,000. The lower boundary widens down toward $105,400 and $103,800.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-846349\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Bitcoin-Megaphine-pattern-6-hour-chart.jpg?resize=1024%2C517\" alt=\"Bitcoin Megaphone pattern 6-hour chart\" width=\"1024\" height=\"517\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Within that range, Bitcoin put in a sharp spike above $126,000 in early October, then sold off violently, dropping below $106,000s with a wick toward roughly $102,000. That bounce failed to recover the prior range. Instead, price stalled under a horizontal resistance shelf around $116,000\u2013$117,000. Olszewicz sketches a yellow projected path that implies a short-term bounce from just under $111,000 back towards $116,000. That path suggests attempted relief, not confirmed bullish continuation.<\/p>\n<p>Only if Bitcoin can reclaim the $116,000\u2013$117,000 zone does a move toward the upper resistance band come back into play. In that scenario, price could extend toward $128,000, print a new all-time high, and potentially restart a broader recovery phase.<\/p>\n<h2>The Bearish Case For Bitcoin<\/h2>\n<p>The second chart is where the downside risk accelerates. On the 1-day timeframe, Olszewicz maps a head-and-shoulders top with a rising neckline. The left shoulder topped in the $118,000 area, the head reached roughly $126,200, and the right shoulder again failed near $116,000. The neckline is drawn as an ascending dotted support line that now sits in the $105,000\u2013$106,000 zone. He highlights $107,316.81 as the key breakdown level.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-846350\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Bitcoin-Head-and-Shoulders-pattern-daily-chart.jpg?resize=1024%2C429\" alt=\"Bitcoin Head and Shoulders pattern daily chart\" width=\"1024\" height=\"429\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n<p>If that neckline breaks decisively, the chart applies a standard measured move. The distance from the head down to the neckline is projected lower. Olszewicz plots that extension into a teal target zone and marks intermediate and full objectives at $93,963.81 (the 1.618 extension) and $87,652.27 (the 2.0 extension). In other words, a clean daily breakdown through $107,316 opens a path first toward the mid-$90,000s and then toward roughly $87,600.<\/p>\n<p>Above spot, resistance remains layered. The 0.5 retracement of the prior impulse is labeled at $115,486, and the 1.0 retracement \u2014 effectively the previous swing high \u2014 is marked at $124,477.<\/p>\n<p>Structurally, Bitcoin is now boxed between supply in the $116,000 region and that neckline supports around $105,000\u2013$106,000. Olszewicz\u2019s message is that bulls may still be trying to form a \u201ccomplex inverse head-and-shoulders in the megaphone,\u201d but the active daily head-and-shoulders top is \u201cnot great.\u201d A decisive loss of the neckline could confirm the bearish structure and put $93,963.81 and $87,652.27 on the table.<\/p>\n<p>At press time, BTC traded at $110,096.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-846359\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/BTCUSDT_2025-10-30_11-09-50.png?resize=1024%2C473\" alt=\"Bitcoin price\" width=\"1024\" height=\"473\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin is sitting on a technical ledge that could decide whether price makes a new all-time high or unwinds sharply into the $80,000s, according to veteran trader Josh Olszewicz (CarpeNoctom). \u201cBTC complex iHS brewing in the megaphone,\u201d he posted on October 30, 2025, adding in a follow-up: \u201cAlso this brewing, not great.\u201d The Bullish Case&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15159,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[10,9,48,12,88,89],"class_list":["post-15158","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-btc","tag-btc-news","tag-btc-price"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15158","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15158"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15158\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15159"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15158"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15158"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15158"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}