{"id":18816,"date":"2026-01-26T20:00:16","date_gmt":"2026-01-26T20:00:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/expert-who-nailed-the-bitcoin-top-now-says-buy-at-these-levels\/"},"modified":"2026-01-26T20:00:16","modified_gmt":"2026-01-26T20:00:16","slug":"expert-who-nailed-the-bitcoin-top-now-says-buy-at-these-levels","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/expert-who-nailed-the-bitcoin-top-now-says-buy-at-these-levels\/","title":{"rendered":"Expert Who Nailed The Bitcoin Top Now Says Buy At These Levels"},"content":{"rendered":"

Chris Burniske, cofounder of Placeholder VC and former crypto lead at Ark Invest, is mapping out where he would consider stepping back into Bitcoin if the market keeps sliding, after earning fresh credit on X for calling major turning points this cycle. His framework lands in the mid-$80,000s down to the low-$50,000s, while a separate technical view from analyst Aksel Kibar points to a broader \u201cbase building\u201d process with support clustered in the mid-$70,000s.<\/p>\n

Price Levels Where To Buy Bitcoin<\/h2>\n

Burniske Strategy\u2019s (MSTR) stated Bitcoin cost basis of around $76,000.<\/p>\n

He then pointed to around $70,000 as the top of the prior $50,000\u2013$70,000 band near the 2021 high, before shifting to a more structural level near $58,000. That zone, he wrote, aligns with the 200-week simple moving average and an on-chain cost basis, with RV around $56,000. Finally, he flagged $50,000 and below as a psychological line, arguing that a break under it would likely revive \u201cdeath of BTC\u201d narratives.<\/p>\n

\n

I’m not a buyer yet, but if I were to be a buyer, imo the areas to watch for $BTC<\/a> are:<\/p>\n

~$80K: Nov ’25 low, local low of this “bear”
\n~$74K: April ’25 low, Tariff Tantrum low, just below $MSTR<\/a>‘s cost basis (~$76K)
\n~$70K: Top of $50-70K range, near ’21 high
\n~$58K: 200W SMA &\u2026<\/p>\n

\u2014 Chris Burniske (@cburniske) January 25, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Burniske\u2019s posture is deliberately non-committal on timing. \u201cImportantly, I don\u2019t care what happens,\u201d he wrote, adding that if Bitcoin rallies he will \u201cride what I have and diversify,\u201d while a deeper unwind would have him buying more Bitcoin and \u201cselect crypto assets.\u201d<\/p>\n

The thread also touched altcoins. Asked how he thinks about alts versus Bitcoin, Burniske said it\u2019s \u201cbest imo to buy alts after you think btc is near bottom,\u201d reinforcing that he\u2019s treating BTC\u2019s downside process as the key gating factor for broader risk-taking. On positioning, he said he is sitting \u201cin treasuries, where yield > inflation,\u201d and when asked about an upside level that would force him back in, he replied that he \u201cwouldn\u2019t chase,\u201d preferring to hold existing exposure rather than re-risk at higher prices.<\/p>\n

Burniske\u2019s renewed attention followed praise from Anthony Pompliano, who told him: \u201cYou nailed the SOL bottom and the BTC top over this cycle.\u201d Burniske\u2019s reputation for calling tops is partly tied to an October 2025 post<\/a> in which he argued the market had likely been structurally damaged after a sharp selloff.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe can always get another weak bounce, but I\u2019ve taken action accordingly,\u201d he wrote at the time. \u201cI\u2019ll likely get interested in the market again when I see BTC $75K or lower.\u201d<\/p>\n

Breakdown Or Bottoming Phase?<\/h2>\n

Separately, veteran technician Aksel Kibar posted<\/a> a BTCUSD daily chart on Sunday without additional commentary. When asked directly about a breakout or breakdown, Kibar cautioned against overweighting diagonal formations: \u201cNot giving too much weight to diagonal short-term patterns breakout\/breakdown. I think this is part of the base building, searching for a bottom.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

Kibar had previously framed \u201ctechnical support\u201d as being \u201clower between 73.7K and 76.5K,\u201d suggesting that if Bitcoin is indeed in a basing phase, the market may need time and repeated tests of those lower bands before a more durable trend reasserts itself.<\/p>\n

At press time, BTC traded at $87,812.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Chris Burniske, cofounder of Placeholder VC and former crypto lead at Ark Invest, is mapping out where he would consider stepping back into Bitcoin if the market keeps sliding, after earning fresh credit on X for calling major turning points this cycle. His framework lands in the mid-$80,000s down to the low-$50,000s, while a separate…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18817,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[10,9,48,12,88,89,7074],"class_list":["post-18816","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-btc","tag-btc-news","tag-btc-price","tag-chris-burniske"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18816","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18816"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18816\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18817"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18816"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18816"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsrise.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18816"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}